| The
market for transferring pension scheme risk to an insurance company
will fall by half to £4bn this year because of the financial
crisis according to a report by Lane Clark & Peacock LLP (LCP),
leading consultant actuaries.
This will still
exceed the £2.9bn written in 2007.
Charlie Finch,
partner in LCP’s buyout practice, said: “After the explosive
growth in pension buyouts last year, the financial crisis has slammed
on the brakes for now. Insurers and pension schemes have taken a
step back as they wait to see what impact the crisis will have.”
LCP’s
report reveals that fewer than 20 per cent of buy-out quotations
led to a completed deal in 2008. LCP expects this to increase towards
50 per cent over 2009, reflecting the higher proportion of well-prepared
schemes currently exploring buyout options.
The demand to
manage risk for defined benefit pension schemes is not going to
diminish even though the buyout market is off the boil for the moment.
Longevity hedging transfers to the insurance company only the risk
that members of the scheme will live longer than predicted, while
retaining the assets of the scheme. This can be more affordable
than a buy-in, and more attractive, in that counterparty risk is
minimised.
Babcock International
announced its longevity swap agreement in May, the first by a UK
pension scheme, and LCP predicts that more will follow.
Finch added:
The birth of the longevity protection market is well timed to help
larger pension schemes take a key risk off the table with six FTSE
100 companies having already obtained longevity quotations. Competition
between providers seeking to establish themselves means that many
larger pension schemes can purchase longevity protection at limited
additional cost relative to present funding plans.”
Interestingly,
the report follows Pension Capital Strategies’ (PCS) latest
Buyout Market Watch Report which shows that pension scheme buy-out
prices are generally increasing for both deferred and pensioner
members.
“Looking
at quotations received over Q1 2009 there is evidence that, following
the changes in the pricing bases, prices are generally increasing
with significant volatility in the different quotations as insurers
amend their pricing.
“However,
the comparison between buyout prices and the pension costs shown
in company accounts is distorted by a quirk of the accounting rules
which means that pension liabilities on company accounts are artificially
reduced at present. This makes buyout prices look more expensive
than they really are. However we believe buyout prices relative
to gilt yields still look attractive.”
- Pensions
Age June 2009
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